References

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[1] Bea, R.: “The Role of Human Error in Design, Construction, and Reliability of Marine Structures”. Technical report, Ship Structure Committee, 1994. SSC-378.

[2] Comstock, J.P. and Robertson, J.B.: "Survival of Collision Damage Versus the 1960 Convention of Safety of Life at Sea", SNAME, pp. 461-522. 1961.

[3] Cowi: "Risk analysis of oil and chemical spills in Danish waters", Minister of Defence, 147 pages. 2007. (In Danish)

[4] Froese, J, Hartung, R. and Schack, C.: “Risk Assessment for Solo Watchkeeping at Night under Defined Conditions”. ISSUS, Germany. March, 1996.

[5] Fujii, Y. Yamanouchi, H and Mizuki, N.: “Some Factors Affecting the Frequency of Accidents in Marine Traffic. II: The probability of Stranding, III: The Effect of Darkness on the Probability of Stranding”. Journal of Navigation, Vol. 27, 1974.

[6] Fujii, Y. and Yamanouchi, H.: “Visual range and the Degree of Risk”, Journal Of Navigation Vol. 27, No. 2, pp 248- 252, 1974.

[7] Fujii, Y.: "Integrated Study on Marine Traffic Accidents", IABSE Colloquium on Ship Collision with Bridges and Offshore Structures, Copenhagen, Vol. 42, pp. 91-98. 1983.

[8] Fujii, Y., Yamanouchi, H. & Matui, T.: "Survey on Vessel Traffic Management Systems and Brief Introduction to Marine Traffic Studies", Electronic Navigation Research Institute Papers No. 45. 1984.

[9] Fujii, Y. and Mizuki, N.: “Design of VTS systems for water with bridges”. Proc. of the International Symposium on Advances in Ship Collision Analysis. Gluver & Olsen eds. Copenhagen, Denmark, 10-13 May, 1998. pp. 177-190.

[10] Friis Hansen, P and Pedersen, P.T.: "Risk Analysis of Conventional and Solo Watch Keeping” Submitted to Int. Maritime Organisation (IMO) Maritime Safety Committee by Denmark at the 69th Session. 1998.

[11] Friis-Hansen, P and Cerup Simonsen, B.: "Drogden Feasibility Studie 2001, Aktivitet 3.9, Søuheld”, December 2001, HLD Joint Venture”

[12] Gluver, H. and Olsen, D.: “Current practice in risk analysis of ship collisions to bridges”. Proc. of the International Symposium on Advances in Ship Collision Analysis. Gluver & Olsen eds. Copenhagen, Denmark, 10-13 May, 1998. pp. 85-96.

[13] Haugen, S.: “Probabilistic Evaluation of Frequency of Collision Between Ships and Offshore Platforms”. Ph.D. thesis, Marine Structures, University of Trondheim. Aug. 1991.

[14] Hollnagel, E.: “A Cognitive Task Analysis of the STGR Scenario”. Nordic nuclear safety research (NKS). NKS/RAK-1(96)R3. April 1996.

[15] IMO: "Resolution and Other Decisions", Resolution 680-732, London. 1992.

[16] Inoue, K.: "On the Separation of Traffic at Straight Waterway by Distribution Model of Ship Paters", J. Nautical Society of Japan, No. 5. 1972.

[17] ISESO: "Information Technology for Enhanced Safety and Efficiency in Ship Design and Operation", Danish Maritime Authority.

[18] Jensen, F.V.: “An Introduction to Bayesian Networks”. UCL Press. 1996.

[19] Karlson, M. Rasmussen, F. and Frisk, L: “Verification of ship collision frequency model”. Proc. of the International Symposium on Advances in Ship Collision Analysis. Gluver & Olsen eds. Copenhagen, Denmark, 10-13 May, 1998. pp. 117- 121.

[20] Larsen, O. Damgaard: “Ship Collisions with Bridges – The interaction between Vessel Traffic and Bridge Structures”. Structural Engineering Documents 4. International Association for Bridge and Structural Engineering. 1993.

[21] MacDuff, T.: “The Probability of Vessel Collisions”. Ocean Industry, September 1974. pp. 144-148.

[22] Olsen, D. Gotfredsen, H.H. and Fujii, Y.: “Risk Reducing Effects of the Great Belt VTS System”. 7th International VTS Symposium, Vancouver, Canada, June 1992.

[23] Pearl, J.: “Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference”. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, Inc. 1988.

[24] Pedersen, P. Terndrup, Hansen, P. Friis, and Nielsen, L.: “Probabilistic Analysis of Collision Damages With Application to Passenger Ro-Ro Vessels”. Safety of Passenger Ro-Ro Vessels. Dept. of Naval Architecture and Ocean Eng. Doc. pac- 001. 1995.

[25] Pedersen, P. Terndrup: "Collision and Grounding Mechanics". Proc. WEMT 1995, Copenhagen, Volume 1, pp.125-157. 1995.

[26] Rasmussen, B. and Whetton, C.: “Hazard Identification Based on Plant Functional Modelling”. Risø National Laboratory, Roskilde, Denmark. October 1993.

[27] Rothblum, A. M. and Carvalhais, A.B.: “Maritime Applications of Human Factors Test and Evaluation”. Chapter 15 in the book, Handbook of Human Factors Testing and Evaluation, edited by T. G. O'Brien and S. G. Charlton, Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Assoc., 1996.

[28] Schraagen, J.M.C, van Breda, L., and Rasker, P.C.: “Sole look-out during periods of darkness”. TNO Human Factors Rresearch Institute. August 22, 1997.

[29] Thau, J. Personal communication. Danish Maritime Institute, Denmark. 1999.

[30] U.S. Coast Guard: Homepage of Research and Development Center. http://www.rdc.uscg.mil


Source: IWRAP Mk II, Basic Modelling Principles for Prediction of Collision and Grounding Frequencies, (draft working document), Rev. 4, 2008.03.09, Peter Friis-Hansen, Technical University of Denmark.